Lacrosse Analytics

2019 DI/D1 Mens Lacrosse

Lacrosse Analytics

Postby laxreference » Fri Jan 11, 2019 1:38 pm

Wanted to set ourselves up over at this new forum (RIP LaxPower) so that we have somewhere to discuss the quant angles to the 2019 season.
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Re: Lacrosse Analytics

Postby laxreference » Fri Jan 11, 2019 1:43 pm

First thing we wanted to do this year was to get the strength of schedule calculations done for each D1 team. Same as before, we used our Lax-ELO ratings to come up with an average S.O.S. for each team. The top 10 turned out to be a fairly predictable lot:

SOS_visualization(20190107).png
SOS_visualization(20190107).png (26.67 KiB) Viewed 286 times


Of course, calculated this way, SOS is equal parts a measure of how you've chosen to schedule and the games you are forced to play because of conference ties. To get a clearer picture of the teams that went out of their way to schedule a difficult slate, we can recalculate the rankings without any conference games included:

SOS_NonConf_visualization(20190108).png
SOS_NonConf_visualization(20190108).png (25.15 KiB) Viewed 286 times


The full write-up of this analysis can be found here.
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Re: Lacrosse Analytics

Postby Drcthru » Fri Jan 11, 2019 8:11 pm

Interesting that neither Yale or UVA is on either list!
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Re: Lacrosse Analytics

Postby bearlaxfan » Fri Jan 11, 2019 9:01 pm

Some of the non-conference weakness is due to regionality. The immediate OOC opponents for, as an example, Yale, will be other Connecticut schools that would not usually be in the top 15 in the polls, while UMd has Towson and Loyola as consistently polling programs, with UMBC the outlier. How many athletic depts will commit the $ to travel so its lax program can get to the opponents needed to build up SOS, if travel is required? Some, but not every.
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Re: Lacrosse Analytics

Postby Typical Lax Dad » Fri Jan 11, 2019 10:00 pm

Mid week games have a regional impact. Stiffer competition in mid Atlantic vs Northeast.
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Re: Lacrosse Analytics

Postby laxreference » Sat Jan 12, 2019 8:00 am

bearlaxfan wrote:Some of the non-conference weakness is due to regionality. The immediate OOC opponents for, as an example, Yale, will be other Connecticut schools that would not usually be in the top 15 in the polls, while UMd has Towson and Loyola as consistently polling programs, with UMBC the outlier. How many athletic depts will commit the $ to travel so its lax program can get to the opponents needed to build up SOS, if travel is required? Some, but not every.


Great point. I guess you really need to account for 2 factors to really isolate the program's choices: conference strength and proximity of talented opponents. Fair point.
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